THE COVID-19 CONTAINMENT IN INDONESIA AND SOFT LAW: A RISK-TO-OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS

##plugins.themes.academic_pro.article.main##

Adi Ibnu

Abstract

This article illustrates how Basel III, a soft law legal framework guiding how regulators supervise financial institutions in order to prevent and mitigate systemic financial crises, especially the requirement regarding the governance of sovereign debt, is being implemented in Indonesia. The analysis was done by scrutinising the relevant authority’s responses and monetary policy during COVID-19. Also, it examines whether the applicable regulations and other related policies align with the grand objectives of the financial sector. This article provides several important takeaways. First, benefiting from the soft traits of Basel III, the oversight authorities (OJK and BI) have tried to enshrine the government’s resilient and prudent financial state through flexibility. Second, instead of taking expansionary legal measures to stimulate the state’s income and limit the state’s expenses, BI and the government have worked together to contain the damage of the pandemic through a quasi-fiscal program (burden-sharing program, BSP). Third, the legislation of Law No. 3/2023 did not make the BI’s objective less risky. It also suggests that more could have been done to prevent the fiscal deficit, especially by the government, through fiscal consolidation (limiting or decreasing the state’s expenses).

Keywords: basel III, burden-sharing program, risk-to-objective framework, soft law, COVID-19 pandemic

##plugins.themes.academic_pro.article.details##

References

  1. Abbott, Kenneth W., and Duncan Snidal. “Hard and Soft Law in International Governance.” International Organization 54, no. 3 (2000): 421–56. https:// doi.org/10.1162/002081800551280.
  2. Adam, Mohamad; Taufik, Taufik; Prathama, Muhammad Aditya Erfiyan. “Bank Liquidity-Stress Testing and Basel III Implementation in Indonesia.” Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, no. Volume 7 Issue 1, 2015 (2015): 12–23. https://dx.doi.org/10.20885/ejem.vol7.iss1.art2.
  3. Albayumi, Fuat. “Soft Law Sebagai Sebuah Strategi: Studi Kasus Piagam Asean (Asean Charter).” Spektrum: Jurnal Ilmu Politik Hubungan Internasional 12, no. 2 (2012): 1–13.
  4. Alexander, Kern, Rahul Dhumale, and John Eatwell. Global Governance of Financial Systems: The International Regulation of Systemic Risk. New York: Oxford University Press, 2005.
  5. April 19, 2021. “Update 2 - Indonesia Aims to Cut Spending, Budget Deficit in 2022.” Accessed August 30, 2021. https://www.reuters.com/article/indonesia-economy-budget-idUSL1N2MM089.
  6. Aust, Anthony. Handbook of International Law. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2005. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511494123.
  7. Bank Indonesia. “Synergy and Policy Innovation: Key to Resilience and Saving the Economy from Crisis Risk.” Annual Meeting Report 2022. Jakarta, Indonesia: Bank Indonesia, November 30, 2022.
  8. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. “Basel Committee on Banking Supervision International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards.” Basel: Bank for International Settlement, 2004.
  9. Bini-Smaghi, Lorenzo, and Daniel Gros. “Is the ECB Sufficiently Accountable and Transparent?” European Network of Economic Policy Research Institutes, Economics Working Papers 007, 2001. https://ideas.repec.org//p/epr/enepwp/007.html.
  10. Blommestein, Hans J., and Philip Turner. “Interactions Between Sovereign Debt Management and Monetary Policy Under Fiscal Dominance and Financial Instability.” Paris: OECD, February 20, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1787/5k9fdwrnd1g3-en.
  11. Bristol-Alagbariya, Edward T. “Sustainable Development: A Soft Law Concept Transforming SD-Oriented Initiatives of the UN System into Hard Law Instruments in UN Member-States and Promoting Partnerships Around the Globe.” Journal of Law, Policy and Globalization 94, no. 2 (2020): 40–52. https://doi.org/10.7176/jlpg/94-06.
  12. Brummer, Chris. “Soft Law and the Global Financial Crisis.” In Soft Law and the Global Financial System: Rule Making in the 21st Century, 218–75. Cambridge University Press, 2015.
  13. ———. “Why Soft Law Dominates International Finance—and Not Trade.”Journal of International Economic Law 13, no. 3 (September 1, 2010): 623–43.
  14. Charney, Jonathan I. “The Power of the Executive Branch of the United States Government to Violate Customary International Law.” The American Journal of International Law 80, no. 4 (1986): 913. https://doi.org/10.2307/2202073.
  15. Chinkin, C. M. “The Challenge of Soft Law: Development and Change in International Law.” International and Comparative Law Quarterly 38, no. 4 (1989): 850–66. https://doi.org/10.1093/iclqaj/38.4.850.
  16. Cukierman, Alex, Steven B. Web, and Bilin Neyapti. “Measuring the Independence of Central Banks and Its Effect on Policy Outcomes.” The World Bank Economic Review 6, no. 3 (September 1, 1992): 353–98. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/6.3.353.
  17. D’Aspremont, Jean. “Softness in International Law: A Self-Serving Quest for New Legal Materials.” The European Journal of International Law 19, no. 5 (2008): 1075–93. https://doi.org/10.1093/ejil/chn057.
  18. Debelle, Guy, and Stanley Fischer. “How Independent Should a Central Bank Be?” In Goals, Guidelines and Constraints Facing Monetary Policymakers, edited by Jeffrey C Fuhrer, 195–225. Conference Series No. 38. Boston: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, 1994.
  19. Druzin, Bryan H. “Why Does Soft Law Have Any Power Anyway?” Asian Journal of International Law 7, no. 2 (2017): 361–78. https://doi.org/10.1017/S2044251316000229.
  20. Eichengreen, Barry J, Asmaa El-Ganainy, Rui Esteves, and Kris James Mitchener. In Defense of Public Debt. Oxford University Press, 2021.
  21. “Ekonomi Sebut Risiko Bank Indonesia Cetak Uang Terus Karena Burden Sharing Permanen - Bisnis Tempo.Co.” Accessed July 25, 2023. https://bisnis.tempo.co/read/1666384/ekonom-sebut-risiko-bank-indonesiacetak-uang-terus-karena-burden-sharing-permanen.
  22. Ersel, Hasan, and Fatih Özatay. “Fiscal Dominance and Inflation Targeting: Lessons from Turkey.” Emerging Markets Finance and Trade 44, no. 6 (November 1, 2008): 38–51. https://doi.org/10.2753/REE1540496X440603.
  23. Ersya, Ozy Diva. “Legal Perspective on the Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA): Indonesia Case Studies.” Jurnal Kajian Ilmu Hukum Dan Syariah 1, no. 1 (2016): 1–14. https://doi.org/10.22373/petita.v1i1.75.
  24. Ferran, Eilis, and Kern K. Alexander. “Can Soft Law Bodies Be Effective? Soft Systemic Risk Oversight Bodies and the Special Case of the European Systemic Risk Board,” 2012.
  25. Ferran, Eilis, and Kern K. Alexander. “Can Soft Law Bodies Be Effective? Soft Systemic Risk Oversight Bodies and the Special Case of the European Systemic Risk Board,” 2012.
  26. Goldberg, Pinelopi Koujianou, and Tristan Reed. “The Effects of the Coronavirus Pandemic in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: An Optimistic Preliminary Account.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2020, no. 2 (2020): 161–211.
  27. Goodhart, Charles, and Rosa Lastra. “Populism and Central Bank Independence.” Open Economies Review 29, no. 1 (2017): 49–68. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11079-017-9447-y.
  28. “Governors and Heads of Supervision Announce Deferral of Basel III Implementation to Increase Operational Capacity of Banks and Supervisors to Respond to Covid-19,” March 27, 2020. https://www.bis.org/press/p200327.htm.
  29. “Govt, BI Approve $30b Burden-Sharing Scheme.” August 25, 2021. https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2021/08/24/govt-bi-approves-30bburden-sharing-scheme.html.
  30. Grenville, Stephen, and Roland Rajah. “COVID-19 and Monetary Policy.” In Economic Dimensions of Covid-19 in Indonesia, edited by Blaine Lewis and Firman Witoelar, 24–43. Singapore: ISEAS–Yusof Ishak Institute Singapore, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1355/9789814951463-006.
  31. Hartlapp, Miriam, and Andreas Hofmann. “The Use of EU Soft Law by National Courts and Bureaucrats: How Relation to Hard Law and Policy Maturity Matter.” West European Politics 44, no. 1 (2020): 134–54. https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2020.1738095.
  32. Hill, Hal. “Indonesia and the Covid-19 Crisis: A Light at the End of the Tunnel?” Economic Dimensions of Covid-19 in Indonesia, Edited by Blane D. Lewis, and Firman Witoelar, 2021, 5–23.
  33. Hofmann, Christian. “Central Banks and Their Limits in a Pandemic.” In Covid-19 in Asia. New York: Oxford University Press, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197553831.003.0007.
  34. ———. “Central Banks and Their Limits in a Pandemic.” In Covid-19 in Asia, 97–111. New York: Oxford University Press, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197553831.003.0007.
  35. Jackson, Kevin. “Cosmopolitan Jurisprudence for Economic Governance.” Society and Business Review 11, no. 3 (2016): 276–96. https://doi.org/10.1108/sbr-08-2015-0041.
  36. James, William E. “Lessons from Development of the Indonesian Economy.” Education About Asia, Spring 2000.
  37. Jones, Emily. “The Puzzle: Peripheral Developing Countries Implementing International Banking Standards.” In The Political Economy of Bank Regulation in Developing Countries: Risk and Reputation, by Emily Jones, 3–33. Oxford University Press, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198841999.003.0001.
  38. Kamminga, Menno T. “International Law.” In Introduction to Law, edited by Japp Hage, Antonia Walterman, and Bram Akkermans, 2nd ed., 277–301. Switzerland: Springer, 2017.
  39. Klabbers, Jan. “The Redundancy of Soft Law.” Nordic Journal of International Law 65, no. 2 (1996): 167–82. https://doi.org/10.1163/15718109620294889.
  40. Klingler, Désirée. “Government Purchasing during COVID-19 and Recessions: How Expansionary Legal Policies Can Stimulate the Economy.” Public Contract Law Journal 50, no. 1 (2020): 3–33.
  41. Kusumaatmadja, Mochtar. Pengantar Hukum Internasional. Bandung: Alumni, 2003.
  42. Law No.3/2023 on Financial Sector Development and Strengthening, Pub. L. No. 3 (2023).
  43. Law of the Republic of Indonesia No. 2 of 2020 concerning the Fiscal Policy Strategy of the Government of the Republic of Indonesia in Dealing with the Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic, Pub. L. No. 2 (2020).
  44. Lee, Emily. “The Soft Law Nature of Basel III and International Financial Regulations.” Journal of International Banking Law and Regulation 29, no. 10 (2014): 603–12.
  45. Listokin, Yair. Law and Macroeconomics: Legal Remedies to Recessions. Harvard University Press, 2019. https://doi.org/10.4159/9780674239838.
  46. Lyngen, Narissa. “Basel III: Dynamics of State Implementation.” Harvard International Law Journal 53, no. 2 (2012): 520–35.
  47. Martin, Elizabeth A. Oxford: Dictionary of Law. 5th Edition. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2003.
  48. Michael, Bryane, and Svitlana Osaulenko. “Toward a New Comparative Public Law of Central Bank Legislation: Designing Legislative Mandates for Central Bank Private Securities Assets Purchases and Nominal GDP Targeting.” Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice 10, no. 1 (January 1, 2021): 5–38. https://doi.org/10.2478/jcbtp-2021-0001.
  49. Milano, Enrico, and Niccolò Zugliani. “Capturing Commitment in Informal, Soft Law Instruments: A Case Study on the Basel Committee.” Journal of International Economic Law 22, no. 2 (2019): 163–76. https://doi.org/10.1093/jiel/jgz009.
  50. Mosser, Patricia C. “Central Bank Responses to COVID-19.” Business Economics 55, no. 4 (October 1, 2020): 191–201. https://doi.org/10.1057/s11369-020-00189-x.
  51. Olivia, Susan, John Gibson, and Rus’an Nasrudin. “Indonesia in the Time of Covid-19.” Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies 56, no. 2 (May 3, 2020): 143–74. https://doi.org/10.1080/00074918.2020.1798581.
  52. “Pertimbangkan Ulang ”Burden Sharing”, Neraca BI Bisa Defisit Rp 21,8 Triliun - Kompas.Id.” Accessed July 25, 2023. https://www.kompas.id/baca/ekonomi/2020/09/29/karena-burden-sharing-neraca-keuangan-bidefisit-rp-218-triliun-pada-2021.
  53. Peters, Anne. “Soft Law as a New Mode of Governance.” In The Dynamics of Change in EU Governance, edited by Udo Diedrichs, Wulf Reiners, and Wolfgang Wessels, 21–51. Edward Elgar, 2011.
  54. Power, Michael. “The Risk Management of Everything.” Journal of Risk Finance 5, no. 3 (2004): 58–65. https://doi.org/10.1108/eb023001.
  55. Pramono, Bambang, Januar Hafidz, Justina Adamanti, Maulana Harris Muhajir, and Muhammad Sahirul Alim. “Key Indicators, Reciprocity and Regulation of the Countercyclical Capital Buffer in Indonesia.” Working Paper. Bank Indonesia, 2015.
  56. Putri, Aulia Kartika, Hinza Praitma Adli, and Akhmad Habibullah. “Analysis of Government Regulations in Lieu of Law No. 1 of 2020: As a Response to the Urgency of the COVID-19 Pandemic.” Jurnal Studi Ilmu Pemerintahan 4, no. 1 (2023): 179–88.
  57. Quaglia, Lucia. “The Politics of State Compliance with International ‘Soft Law’ in Finance.” Governance 32, no. 1 (2019): 45–62. https://doi.org/10.1111/gove.12344.
  58. Rajagukguk, Blucer Welington, and Muhammad Najib. “The Effect of Legal Political Determination of Perppu Number 1 of 2020 on Financial Markets in Indonesia During the COVID-19 Pandemic.” The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business 8, no. 3 (2021): 655–64.
  59. Riepe, Jan. “Basel and the IASB: Accountability Interdependencies and Consequences for Prudential Regulation.” Journal of International Economic Law 22, no. 2 (2019): 261–83. https://doi.org/10.1093/jiel/jgz012.
  60. Salim, Wilmar, and Siwage Dharma Negara. “Infrastructure Development under the Jokowi Administration: Progress, Challenges and Policies.” Journal of Southeast Asian Economies 35, no. 3 (2018): 386–401.
  61. Sari, Bunga Lutfiana. “Penerapan Guidelines for the Development of Measures to Combat Counterfeit Drugs WHO 1999 Di Indonesia.” Journal of International Relations 3, no. 4 (2017): 106–14.
  62. Shaw, Malcolm N. International Law. 5th ed. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2003.
  63. Shelton, Dinah. “International Law and Relative Normativity.” In International Law, edited by Malcolm D. Evans, 1st ed., 145–72. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2003.
  64. Skinner, Christina Parajon. “Central Bank Activism.” Duke Law Journal 71, no. 2 (2021): 247–328.
  65. Skinner, Christina Parajon, and Rosa M Lastra. “Sustainable Central Banking.” Virginia Journal of International Law 61 (2023).
  66. Smits, René. “A Central Bank in Times of Crisis: The ECB’s Developing Role in the EU’s Currency Union.” Research Handbook on Central Banking, 2018, 184.
  67. Solissa, Dian Nuriyah. “Kesiapan Perbankan Syariah Di Indonesia Dalam Penerapan Liquidity Coverage Ratio Basel III.” EkBis: Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, no. Vol 1, No 2 (2017): EkBis: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis (2017): 165–86.
  68. Sopanah, Ana, and Mohammad Fauzi Fikri Haikal. “The Effectiveness of Law No. 2 of 2020 Concerning the Fiscal Policy Strategy of the Government of the Republic of Indonesia in Dealing with the Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic.” Wiga: Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu Ekonomi 12, no. 1 (2022): 46–54.
  69. Suryanto, Dadang Agus. “Pertumbuhan Kredit Di Indonesia: Sebuah Analisis Kepatuhan Bank Terhadap Implementasi Basel Accord I-III.” Jurnal ASET (Akuntansi Riset) 11, no. 2 (2019): 224–37.
  70. Thirlway, Hugh. “The Sources of International Law.” In International Law, edited by Malcolm D. Evans, 1st ed., 117–44. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2003.
  71. “Too Sovereign to Be Sued: Immunity of Central Banks in Times of Financial Crisis.” Harvard Law Review 124, no. 2 (2010): 550–71.
  72. Tsebelis, George. Veto Players: How Political Institutions Work. Princeton University Press, 2002. https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691099897/veto-players.
  73. Wacks, Raymond. Law: A Very Short Introduction. New York: Oxford University Press, 2008.
  74. Walter, Andrew. “Emerging Countries and Basel III: Why Is Engagement Still Low ?,” 2015.
  75. Weder, Beatrice, and Michael Wedow. “Will Basel II Affect International Capital Flows to Emerging Markets?” 2002. https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/content/paper/731072600818.
  76. Wiharso, Ade. “Mempertimbangkan Dampak Perpanjangan ‘Burden Sharing’ (Assessing ‘Burden-Sharing’ Effect).” News. Detiknews. Accessed July 10, 2021. https://news.detik.com/kolom/d-5190935/mempertimbangkandampak-perpanjangan-burden-sharing.
  77. Zaring, David. “Legal Obligation in International Law and International Finance.” Cornell International Law Journal 48, no. 1 (2015): 175–217.